Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Badajoz vs Hernan Cortes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 game between UD Badajoz and Hernan Cortes finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
UD Badajoz
15%
Draws
32%
Hernan Cortes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hernan Cortes haven't matched UD Badajoz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives UD Badajoz a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Badajoz Hernan Cortes
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Hernan Cortes
5:0
Dec 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UD Badajoz
0:0
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UD Badajoz
0:0
Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Hernan Cortes
5:0
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UD Badajoz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100
Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Badajoz Hernan Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Badajoz's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hernan Cortes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

UD Badajoz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hernan Cortes
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Badajoz

(Home)
25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2
UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0
Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
UD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Hernan Cortes

(Away)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villanovense 40 31 7 2 77:17 100
2 Merida UD 40 28 10 2 88:27 94
3 Jerez CF 40 29 7 4 77:21 94
4 UD Badajoz 40 29 7 4 84:17 94
5 CD Coria 40 26 9 5 81:35 87
6 Extremadura UD 40 22 8 10 78:36 74
7 Don Benito 39 15 11 13 50:35 56
8 Diter Zafra 40 14 11 15 68:60 53
9 Pueblonuevo 40 15 8 17 66:54 53
10 CD Azuaga 40 14 10 16 68:78 52
11 UP Plasencia 40 16 4 20 66:63 52
12 Atletico San Jose Promesas 40 14 10 16 48:49 52
13 Olivenza FC 40 11 13 16 38:49 46
14 Hernan Cortes 40 12 10 18 28:49 46
15 Santa Amalia 40 13 6 21 43:69 45
16 Castuera 39 11 12 16 51:66 45
17 Fuente de Cantos 40 10 11 19 48:61 41
18 Cacereno II 40 7 10 23 32:81 31
19 Miajadas 40 7 3 30 42:110 24
20 RCP Valverdeno 40 4 8 28 48:103 20
21 Ciduad de Plasencia 40 2 3 35 27:128 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)