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UD Beniganim vs Novelda CF

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between UD Beniganim and Novelda CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Beniganim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Beniganim
20%
Draws
40%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Beniganim come out ahead of Novelda CF on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UD Beniganim Clean Sheet 17%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Beniganim Novelda CF
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
UD Beniganim vs Novelda CF
2:1
Jan 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Beniganim
0:1
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Beniganim
5:0
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
UD Beniganim vs Novelda CF
0:3
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs UD Beniganim
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Beniganim 31 / 100
Novelda CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Beniganim Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Novelda CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

UD Beniganim scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Beniganim VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Beniganim

(Home)
29 Apr
UD Beniganim
2 : 1
Hercules B
24 Apr
Acero
3 : 0
UD Beniganim
16 Apr
UD Beniganim
0 : 2
Torrent
13 Apr
Villarreal C
5 : 0
UD Beniganim
10 Apr
UD Beniganim
3 : 3
Torrellano
Page 1 of 7

Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alzira 20 10 8 2 29:12 38
2 Roda 20 9 8 3 28:16 35
3 Atletico Saguntino 20 7 10 3 30:27 31
4 Villarreal C 20 6 12 2 32:18 30
5 Silla CF 20 5 10 5 20:21 25
6 Recambios Colon 20 5 8 7 16:19 23
7 Benicarlo 20 4 10 6 22:21 22
8 Torrent 20 4 9 7 17:25 21
9 Acero 20 4 8 8 18:25 20
10 Paterna 20 3 11 6 14:25 20
11 Vilamarxant 20 3 6 11 13:30 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 18 12 5 1 30:11 41
2 Ilicitano 18 11 5 2 33:17 38
3 CF Intercity 18 10 7 1 30:8 37
4 Olimpic Xativa 18 7 4 7 22:24 25
5 UD Beniganim 18 5 5 8 14:30 20
6 Espanol de San Vicente 18 5 4 9 17:23 19
7 Crevillente 18 5 4 9 17:24 19
8 Hercules B 18 4 6 8 13:17 18
9 Villajoyosa 18 4 5 9 17:27 17
10 Novelda CF 18 3 3 12 15:27 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)