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UD Carboneras vs CD Alhaurino

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between UD Carboneras and CD Alhaurino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Carboneras
20%
Draws
80%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alhaurino come out ahead of UD Carboneras on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on CD Alhaurino taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Carboneras CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 11
Losses 30 12
Goals Scored 0 1.12
Goals Conceded 3 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs UD Carboneras
1:0
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs UD Carboneras
1:0
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs CD Alhaurino
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carboneras 10 / 100
CD Alhaurino 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Carboneras CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

UD Carboneras scored in 0% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: CD Alhaurino has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alhaurino
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Carboneras

(Home)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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CD Alhaurino

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1
CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)