Sport Picks
UD Carboneras vs Comarca
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
UD Carboneras host Comarca in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Comarca have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while UD Carboneras have conceded 3 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Comarca slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2012, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.05) point toward Comarca. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Carboneras haven't matched Comarca's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Comarca's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Comarca have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Carboneras | Comarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 30 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Comarca conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
Comarca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
UD Carboneras scored in 0% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Carboneras
(Home)Comarca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loja | 40 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 87:33 | 86 |
| 2 | Union Estepona CF | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 76:37 | 85 |
| 3 | Marbella | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:28 | 78 |
| 4 | Maracena | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 66:42 | 78 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 40 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 79:37 | 76 |
| 6 | Comarca | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 57:34 | 70 |
| 7 | Mancha | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 53:34 | 70 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 68:47 | 67 |
| 9 | El Palo | 40 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 63:57 | 65 |
| 10 | Martos | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 49:45 | 59 |
| 11 | Melilla B | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 44:51 | 54 |
| 12 | CD Ronda | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 49:60 | 51 |
| 13 | Alhaurin | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 59:63 | 50 |
| 14 | Huetor Tajar | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 50:56 | 50 |
| 15 | Motril | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 51:47 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Nerja | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41:57 | 46 |
| 17 | Velez | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 38:60 | 42 |
| 18 | Arenas Armilla | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:51 | 37 |
| 19 | Antequera | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 47:70 | 37 |
| 20 | Ciudad de Vicar | 40 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 22:78 | 18 |
| 21 | UD Carboneras | 40 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6:119 | 4 |
