Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Loja lately — more wins on the board than UD Carboneras.
- Loja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Loja have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 20%
Loja Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Carboneras | Loja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 0 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 30 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Loja
0:3
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs UD Carboneras
3:0
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Loja
1:2
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs UD Carboneras
2:2
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs UD Carboneras
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
Loja 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Carboneras Loja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Loja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Loja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Loja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
UD Carboneras scored in 0% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Loja
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Carboneras
(Home) 06 May
Marbella
3 : 0 UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0 UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Ciudad de Vicar
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Arenas Armilla
25 Mar
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Martos
11 Mar
UD Carboneras
0 : 3 Maracena
Page 1 of 3
Loja
(Away) 22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4 Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0 Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1 Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Loja
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Loja
03 Jun
CD Estepona
1 : 3 Loja
08 May
Melilla CD
1 : 0 Loja
28 Apr
Motril
2 : 2 Loja
28 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
4 : 0 Loja
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comarca | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 57:29 | 79 |
| 2 | Alhaurin | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 58:23 | 78 |
| 3 | Loja | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 61:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga B | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 62:35 | 70 |
| 5 | CD Ronda | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 68:37 | 68 |
| 6 | Maracena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 51:37 | 63 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72:47 | 62 |
| 8 | Motril | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 50:33 | 58 |
| 9 | Marbella | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 58:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Martos | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:40 | 53 |
| 11 | Mancha | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 49:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36:51 | 46 |
| 13 | El Palo | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:65 | 46 |
| 14 | Ciudad de Vicar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:55 | 45 |
| 15 | Velez | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 56:57 | 44 |
| 16 | UD Carboneras | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 57:71 | 40 |
| 17 | Melilla B | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 40:71 | 34 |
| 18 | CD Baza | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 29:58 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Alhaurino | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38:58 | 30 |
| 20 | Adra | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 13:106 | 6 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
