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UD Gomera vs Ibarra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
UD Gomera Logo

UD Gomera

0 - 1
FT
Ibarra Logo

Ibarra

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 game between UD Gomera and Ibarra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ibarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
UD Gomera
15%
Draws
64%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ibarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ibarra a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UD Gomera Clean Sheet 17%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Gomera Ibarra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Gomera vs Ibarra
0:1
Oct 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs UD Gomera
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Gomera 20 / 100
Ibarra 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Gomera Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ibarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ibarra conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

UD Gomera's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Gomera has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ibarra
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Gomera

(Home)
18 May
Tenerife B
2 : 0
UD Gomera
12 May
UD Gomera
0 : 2
Atletico Granadilla
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
UD Gomera
2 : 1
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
UD Gomera
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Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)