Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Guia vs Tijarafe Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Guia in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Guia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Guia
15%
Draws
42%
Tijarafe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Guia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Guia lately — more wins on the board than Tijarafe.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on UD Guia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 17%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Guia Tijarafe
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.14 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Tijarafe
1:0
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs UD Guia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Guia 57 / 100
Tijarafe 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Guia Tijarafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Guia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tijarafe has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

UD Guia's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Away concern: Tijarafe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

UD Guia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Guia

(Home)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 7

Tijarafe

(Away)
19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0
Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1
Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0
Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3
San Isidro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)