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UD Logrones B vs River Ebro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Estrecha I.
87' Event
Montoya A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between UD Logrones B and River Ebro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
UD Logrones B
15%
Draws
24%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Logrones B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • UD Logrones B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD Logrones B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 68%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones B River Ebro
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 0 16
Goals Scored 2.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs River Ebro
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs UD Logrones B
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs River Ebro
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs UD Logrones B
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs UD Logrones B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrecha I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones B 95 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones B River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones B found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

UD Logrones B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

River Ebro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones B VS River Ebro
3.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones B

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
12 Apr
UD Logrones B
2 : 0
Oyonesa
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River Ebro

(Away)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)