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UD Logrones vs Alaves B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rivero Q.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Munoz E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UD Logrones
15%
Draws
28%
Alaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Logrones lately — more wins on the board than Alaves B.
  • Model gives UD Logrones a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Alaves B
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 22 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alaves B
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs UD Logrones
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Alaves B
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs UD Logrones
1:1
Feb 11, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs UD Logrones
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 95 / 100
Alaves B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Alaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Logrones scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

UD Logrones has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Alaves B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Alaves B
1.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Huesca B
21 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Mirandes
14 Aug
UD Logrones
1 : 2
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 7

Alaves B

(Away)
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)