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UD Logrones vs Deportivo Fabril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Morales A.
32' Event
Ochoa M.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Santana I.
Assist: Baselga M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between UD Logrones and Deportivo Fabril finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Logrones
30%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • UD Logrones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Deportivo Fabril
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez Carrasco M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 67 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Deportivo Fabril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: UD Logrones stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Deportivo Fabril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Deportivo Fabril
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Fabril

(Away)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)