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UD Logrones vs Leonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones host Leonesa in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: UD Logrones at 2.41 goals for, 0.76 against; Leonesa at 0.86 for, 1.36 against. Past meetings favor UD Logrones slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2022, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward UD Logrones. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
UD Logrones
20%
Draws
28%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Logrones have won more games recently than Leonesa.
  • UD Logrones are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Logrones have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Leonesa
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 23 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
UD Logrones vs Leonesa
3:0
May 28, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs UD Logrones
1:2
Jan 8, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Leonesa
0:0
Feb 2, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs UD Logrones
0:2
Sep 15, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Leonesa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 85 / 100
Leonesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (34 games).

UD Logrones has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leonesa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Leonesa
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 7

Leonesa

(Away)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)