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UD Logrones vs Sestao

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Muguruza A.
55' Event
Rosas B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Logrones and Sestao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
UD Logrones
15%
Draws
46%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of Sestao on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Logrones a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Sestao
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.31 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Sestao
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
0:1
Oct 16, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Sestao
1:1
May 19, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Muguruza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sestao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 68 / 100
Sestao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

UD Logrones went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sestao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Sestao
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Huesca B
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Sestao

(Away)
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1
Sestao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)