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UD Logrones vs Sestao

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Muguruza A.
55' Event
Rosas B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Logrones and Sestao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Logrones
6%
Draws
4%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of Sestao on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Logrones a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Sestao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Sestao
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
0:1
Oct 16, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Sestao
1:1
May 19, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs UD Logrones
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Muguruza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sestao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 95 / 100
Sestao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

UD Logrones went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Sestao has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Sestao
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
16 May
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Getafe B
10 May
Getafe B
0 : 2
UD Logrones
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Sestao

(Away)
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0
Utebo FC
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
UD Logrones
2 : 0
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)