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UD Los Garres vs FC Cartagena SAD B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

71' Event
Arichuluaga A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between UD Los Garres and FC Cartagena SAD B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cartagena SAD B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UD Los Garres
35%
Draws
40%
FC Cartagena SAD B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Cartagena SAD B come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Los Garres FC Cartagena SAD B
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.68 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs FC Cartagena SAD B
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UD Los Garres
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs FC Cartagena SAD B
0:3
Sep 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UD Los Garres
4:0
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UD Los Garres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Los Garres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Arichuluaga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Los Garres 32 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Los Garres FC Cartagena SAD B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Cartagena SAD B conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

UD Los Garres has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UD Los Garres found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

UD Los Garres VS FC Cartagena SAD B
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Los Garres

(Home)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
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FC Cartagena SAD B

(Away)
10 Oct
Bullas Deportivo
2 : 3
FC Cartagena SAD B
04 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 2
CD Algar
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 UCAM Murcia B 6 2 2 2 13:7 8
7 Aguilas FC B 6 1 5 0 7:5 8
8 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
10 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
12 Minerva 6 2 2 2 3:4 8
13 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 6 0 1 5 6:14 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)