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UD Los Palacios vs Ayamonte

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 game between UD Los Palacios and Ayamonte finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UD Los Palacios
35%
Draws
40%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ayamonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Los Palacios come out ahead of Ayamonte on wins alone.
  • Ayamonte are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UD Los Palacios Clean Sheet 20%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Los Palacios Ayamonte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs UD Los Palacios
1:1
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Ayamonte
1:0
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Ayamonte
2:4
Nov 7, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs UD Los Palacios
3:1
May 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Ayamonte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Los Palacios 28 / 100
Ayamonte 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Los Palacios Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Los Palacios scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ayamonte let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: UD Los Palacios remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ayamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Los Palacios

(Home)
12 May
UD Los Palacios
2 : 3
Sevilla C
06 May
Ayamonte
1 : 1
UD Los Palacios
01 May
UD Los Palacios
1 : 0
Cordoba B
24 Apr
Cadiz B
5 : 1
UD Los Palacios
17 Apr
UD Los Palacios
1 : 1
Conil
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Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Alcala 38 23 11 4 68:21 80
2 Mairena 38 21 7 10 54:30 70
3 Ayamonte 38 19 12 7 63:33 69
4 Marinaleda 38 19 9 10 52:33 66
5 Linense 38 17 12 9 50:32 63
6 Pozoblanco 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
7 Los Barrios 38 16 9 13 42:41 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 15 11 12 61:47 56
9 Cordoba B 38 13 16 9 38:37 55
10 Cadiz B 38 14 12 12 42:41 54
11 UD Los Palacios 38 15 8 15 40:45 53
12 Coria C.F. 38 14 8 16 56:47 50
13 Puerto Real CF 38 14 7 17 32:39 49
14 Sevilla C 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
15 Algeciras 38 11 13 14 48:53 46
16 Sanluqueno 38 12 8 18 36:41 44
17 Portuense 38 12 7 19 39:56 43
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 11 8 19 29:42 41
19 Dos Hermanas 38 4 7 27 24:92 19
20 AD Cartaya 38 4 6 28 25:82 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)