Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
UD Ourense in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ourense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Atios.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on UD Ourense taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Atios Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Atios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.02 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Atios
3:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atios vs UD Ourense
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Ourense 40 / 100
Atios 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Ourense Atios
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 80% of their last 40 outings.
Atios has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Atios's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
UD Ourense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home) 19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1 UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0 UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0 Barco
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0 Barco
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Conquense
16 May
UD Ourense
2 : 1 Reus FC Reddis
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Atios
(Away) 20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1 Atios
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4 CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2 Atios
30 May
Atios
0 : 1 Paiosaco
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0 Atios
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1 Atios
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2 Atios
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0 Atios
02 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Atios
18 Apr
Paiosaco
3 : 2 Atios
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
