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UD Ourense vs CD AS Pontes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between UD Ourense and CD AS Pontes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UD Ourense
35%
Draws
49%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD AS Pontes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs UD Ourense
1:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD AS Pontes
1:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD AS Pontes
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs UD Ourense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 10 / 100
CD AS Pontes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD AS Pontes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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