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UD Ovarense vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Liga de Honra 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Honra 2005/2006 game between UD Ovarense and Gondomar finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UD Ovarense
39%
Draws
31%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gondomar come out ahead of UD Ovarense on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Honra 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
UD Ovarense Clean Sheet 19%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ovarense Gondomar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 4.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2006 Liga Portugal 2
UD Ovarense vs Gondomar
0:4
Oct 30, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
Gondomar vs UD Ovarense
3:1
Mar 20, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
UD Ovarense vs Gondomar
1:0
Nov 7, 2004 Liga Portugal 2
Gondomar vs UD Ovarense
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ovarense 31 / 100
Gondomar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ovarense Gondomar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OVA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ovarense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Gondomar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Solid form: UD Ovarense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Ovarense VS Gondomar
4.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beira Mar341814245:1868
2Aves341810647:3064
3Leixoes341711647:1962
4Olhanense341313841:2852
5Varzim341313847:3952
6Gondomar341491156:4151
7Santa Clara341312945:3251
8Chaves3413111040:3650
9Estoril3411121144:4345
10Feirense341281444:4444
11Vizela3411111242:4844
12Portimonense3410131136:3643
13Moreirense341191436:3742
14Covilha3410121237:4242
15FC Barreirense348111531:4135
16FC Marco34781932:6329
17UD Ovarense34672136:7225
18FC Maia Lidador34662230:6724