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UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

UD Poblense in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Poblense
15%
Draws
42%
Atletico Isleno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Poblense lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Isleno.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on UD Poblense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Atletico Isleno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
0:0
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs UD Poblense
1:1
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Atletico Isleno
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 40 / 100
Atletico Isleno 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Atletico Isleno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Isleno conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

UD Poblense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Isleno's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Isleno

(Away)
19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0
Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2
El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3
Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena Deportiva 38 26 6 6 69:30 84
2 UD Poblense 38 22 6 10 53:29 72
3 Formentera 38 19 11 8 62:28 68
4 Alcudia 38 19 9 10 48:28 66
5 Campos 38 17 14 7 37:23 65
6 Manacor 38 17 7 14 49:48 58
7 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 14 13 11 48:37 55
8 Llosetense 38 14 13 11 57:48 55
9 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 14 11 13 48:38 53
10 Collerense 38 13 12 13 38:41 51
11 Ferriolense 38 14 9 15 53:49 51
12 Mercadal 38 13 11 14 39:54 50
13 CD Montuiri 38 12 13 13 40:38 49
14 Santanyi 38 11 13 14 49:54 46
15 Felanitx 38 11 11 16 39:49 44
16 Atletico Isleno 38 10 13 15 39:45 43
17 Andratx 38 11 10 17 53:61 43
18 Espana 38 9 13 16 38:49 40
19 Soller 38 8 12 18 49:63 36
20 Son Ferrer 38 1 3 34 20:116 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)