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UD Poblense vs Baleares

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Payeras J.
56'
56'

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
UD Poblense
15%
Draws
59%
Baleares
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Baleares have won more games recently than UD Poblense.
  • UD Poblense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 16%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Baleares
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Baleares
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Baleares
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Baleares vs UD Poblense
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Payeras J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Baleares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 36 / 100
Baleares 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Baleares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Poblense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Baleares has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UD Poblense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS Baleares
0.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
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Baleares

(Away)
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
30 Aug
Baleares
3 : 1
Porreres
22 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 3
Baleares
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