Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Poblense vs Ontinyent

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Torres D.
51' Event
Torres D.
53' Event
Torres D.

AI Match Summary

Ontinyent in this Copa del Rey 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UD Poblense
15%
Draws
0%
Ontinyent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Poblense have won more games recently than Ontinyent.
  • Win probability leans UD Poblense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • UD Poblense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ontinyent, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 68%
Ontinyent Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Ontinyent
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.14 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2018 Copa del Rey
UD Poblense vs Ontinyent
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Calonge J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ontinyent Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Soler J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 86 / 100
Ontinyent 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Ontinyent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Ontinyent's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

UD Poblense scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ontinyent has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

Ontinyent

(Away)
19 May
Lleida
1 : 0
Ontinyent
12 May
Ontinyent
0 : 1
CF Badalona
05 May
Valencia B
1 : 0
Ontinyent
28 Apr
Ontinyent
0 : 1
Levante B
21 Apr
Cornella
1 : 0
Ontinyent
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorca FC -
TBD -
Rapido de Bouzas 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 4
CF Fuenlabrada 3
DUX Internacional de Madrid 2
Navalcarnero 0
Leonesa 2
Lugo -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Extremadura UD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcorcon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense -
TBD -
TBD -
CF Badalona -
TBD -
TBD -
Barakaldo 1
Mutilvera 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 2
Cornella 1
SCD Durango 0
Gernika Club 1
Castellon 1
Conquense 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
CD Calahorra 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 2
Yeclano 1
TBD -
Tudelano -
Jaen 3
CF Talavera 2
UD Poblense 1
Ontinyent 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones 2
Langreo 1
Don Benito 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
UCAM Murcia 2
AD Ceuta 0
Mirandes 0
Racing Santander 1
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Malaga -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Cadiz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Dep. A Coruna -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Gimnastic de Tarragona -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon -
TBD -
TBD -
Numancia -
Las Palmas -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 1
Marbella 0
TBD -
Murcia -
Compostela 3
Mensajero 0
Teruel 0
Lleida 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
1/64-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorca FC 2
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
CF Fuenlabrada 1
Leonesa 2
Lugo 3
Albacete 2
Extremadura UD 0
Alcorcon 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense 2
CF Badalona 1
TBD -
Mutilvera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 1
Gernika Club 0
Castellon 0
CD Calahorra 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 3
Tudelano 0
Jaen 1
Ontinyent 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Logrones 2
FC Cartagena SAD 1
UCAM Murcia 0
Racing Santander 2
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis 2
Osasuna 1
Malaga 1
Almeria 2
Cadiz 2
Tenerife 1
Dep. A Coruna 1
Zaragoza 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elche 2
Granada CF 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona 0
Cordoba 2
Mallorca 1
Real Oviedo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon 2
Numancia 1
Las Palmas 1
Rayo Majadahonda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 1
Murcia 0
Compostela 0
Lleida 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valencia -
1/32-finals
Barcelona -
TBD -
Lorca FC 0
Leonesa 3
Lugo 1
Alcorcon 0
TBD -
Levante -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Villanovense 3
Mutilvera 1
TBD -
Sevilla -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
Alaves -
Sant Andreu 1
CD Calahorra 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
Leganes -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Melilla 2
Ontinyent 0
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Betis -
TBD -
UD Logrones 0
Racing Santander 1
Celta Vigo -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Villarreal -
TBD -
Reus FC Reddis 1
Almeria 3
Cadiz 1
Zaragoza 0
TBD -
Espanyol -
Getafe -
TBD -
Elche 1
Cordoba 4
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Gijon 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
TBD -
Eibar -
Ebro 2
Lleida 1
TBD -
Valencia -
1/16-finals
Barcelona 5
Leonesa 1
Lugo 1
Levante 3
Ath Bilbao 8
Huesca 0
Villanovense 0
Sevilla 1
Girona 4
Alaves 3
Sant Andreu 0
Atl. Madrid 5
Leganes 3
Rayo Vallecano 2
Melilla 1
Real Madrid 10
Betis 5
Racing Santander 0
Celta Vigo 1
Real Sociedad 3
Villarreal 11
Almeria 3
Cadiz 2
Espanyol 2
Getafe 7
Cordoba 2
Mallorca 2
Valladolid 4
Gijon 4
Eibar 2
Ebro 1
Valencia 3
1/8-finals
Barcelona 4
Levante 2
Ath Bilbao 2
Sevilla 3
Girona 4
Atl. Madrid 4
Leganes 1
Real Madrid 3
Betis 2
Real Sociedad 2
Villarreal 3
Espanyol 5
Getafe 2
Valladolid 1
Gijon 2
Valencia 4
Quarter-finals
Barcelona 6
Sevilla 3
Girona 3
Real Madrid 7
Betis 4
Espanyol 2
Getafe 2
Valencia 3
Semi-finals
Barcelona 4
Real Madrid 1
Betis 2
Valencia 3
Final
Barcelona 1
Valencia 2