Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022

Serverense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense play Serverense in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD Poblense averaged 1.24 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Serverense averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, UD Poblense won 4, Serverense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for UD Poblense and 0.81 for Serverense. This points to a UD Poblense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

UD Poblense

24%

Draws

23%

Serverense

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

UD Poblense picked up more points recently compared to Serverense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

UD Poblense Clean Sheet 26%

Serverense Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Poblense	Serverense
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.24	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

UD Poblense vs Serverense

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Oct 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Serverense vs UD Poblense

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Serverense vs UD Poblense

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Sep 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

UD Poblense vs Serverense

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jan 27, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Serverense vs UD Poblense

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 53 / 100

Serverense 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Poblense Serverense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)

Secondary Pick UD Poblense & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Poblense attacking → ← attacking Serverense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Poblense scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Serverense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

UD Poblense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Serverense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 27

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	40	32	5	3	105:27	101
2	Manacor	40	26	4	10	74:42	82
3	UD Poblense	40	24	8	8	89:24	80
4	Platges de Calvia	40	22	11	7	56:27	77
5	Llosetense	40	22	9	9	62:36	75
6	Santanyi	40	23	6	11	66:46	75
7	Constancia	40	20	9	11	54:38	69
8	PE Sant Jordi	40	20	8	12	57:46	68
9	Portmany	40	17	11	12	55:51	62
10	Collerense	40	17	7	16	45:49	58
11	Soller	40	16	9	15	46:52	57
12	Binissalem	40	13	12	15	40:44	51
13	Mercadal	40	11	12	17	54:51	45
14	Inter Ibiza	40	12	7	21	51:62	43
15	Rotlet Molinar	40	11	9	20	35:53	42
16	El Espinar Sant Rafel	40	10	10	20	48:64	40
17	Campos	40	10	10	20	38:64	40
18	Felanitx	40	9	11	20	43:65	38
19	Serverense	40	8	7	25	35:74	31
20	Murense	40	5	8	27	31:76	23
21	Son Veri	40	4	3	33	28:121	15