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UD Samano vs Barreda Balompie

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ortiz D.
56' Event
Aguirre D.
59' Event
Abad A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between UD Samano and Barreda Balompie finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Samano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Samano
20%
Draws
40%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barreda Balompie come out ahead of UD Samano on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Barreda Balompie
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs UD Samano
0:3
Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs UD Samano
2:1
Dec 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Barreda Balompie
2:0
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs UD Samano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Barreda Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 30 / 100
Barreda Balompie 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreda Balompie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: UD Samano scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Barreda Balompie's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
Page 1 of 7

Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)