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UD Samano vs Numancia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Juancho
36' Event
Pena H.
52' Event
Gonzalez J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between UD Samano and Numancia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Samano
15%
Draws
85%
Numancia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Samano haven't matched Numancia's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Numancia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Numancia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Numancia
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs UD Samano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Juancho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 10 / 100
Numancia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Numancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

UD Samano's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Numancia registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS Numancia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
04 Apr
Sarriana
4 : 0
UD Samano
Page 1 of 6

Numancia

(Away)
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
03 May
Numancia
1 : 0
Marino De Luanco
26 Apr
Langreo
1 : 1
Numancia
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)