Sport Picks
UD San Fernando vs CD Santa Ursula
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
UD San Fernando play CD Santa Ursula in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD San Fernando averaged 1.49 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. CD Santa Ursula averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, UD San Fernando won 2, CD Santa Ursula won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 11, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for UD San Fernando and 0.75 for CD Santa Ursula. This points to a UD San Fernando double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD San Fernando picked up more points recently compared to CD Santa Ursula.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD San Fernando | CD Santa Ursula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 32 |
| Wins | 23 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.49 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.28 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD San Fernando Compare
CD Santa Ursula Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD San Fernando scored in 80% of their last 41 games.
CD Santa Ursula let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
CD Santa Ursula lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |