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UD San Fernando vs Orihuela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
UD San Fernando Logo

UD San Fernando

1 - 3
FT
Orihuela Logo

Orihuela

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Booker L. D.
65' Event
Alcalde A.
82' Event
Ougri S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UD San Fernando
15%
Draws
26%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD San Fernando come out ahead of Orihuela on wins alone.
  • UD San Fernando are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • UD San Fernando have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Orihuela, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando Orihuela
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Copa Federacion
UD San Fernando vs Orihuela
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Ougri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Booker L. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alcalde A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 95 / 100
Orihuela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD San Fernando scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Orihuela has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Orihuela
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Fernando

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
Page 1 of 6

Orihuela

(Away)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -