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UD San Fernando vs Real Union Tenerife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD San Fernando host Real Union Tenerife in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: UD San Fernando at 1.56 goals for, 0.62 against; Real Union Tenerife at 1.17 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor UD San Fernando slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward UD San Fernando. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UD San Fernando
15%
Draws
49%
Real Union Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD San Fernando lately — more wins on the board than Real Union Tenerife.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on UD San Fernando taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 20%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando Real Union Tenerife
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Real Union Tenerife
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs UD San Fernando
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 58 / 100
Real Union Tenerife 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando Real Union Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

UD San Fernando's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Union Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Real Union Tenerife
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Fernando

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
Page 1 of 7

Real Union Tenerife

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 3
Real Union Tenerife
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
2 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
4 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Lanzarote 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)