Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Match Events

29'

Edu Salles

90'

Acosta J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD San Fernando host Real Union Tenerife in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: UD San Fernando at 1.75 goals for, 0.5 against; Real Union Tenerife at 0.5 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor UD San Fernando slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.50, favoring UD San Fernando. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UD San Fernando

Draws

Real Union Tenerife

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

UD San Fernando has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Union Tenerife.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for UD San Fernando.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%

Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD San Fernando	Real Union Tenerife
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.75	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs Real Union Tenerife

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Real Union Tenerife vs UD San Fernando

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Edu Salles

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Real Union Tenerife Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 95 / 100

Real Union Tenerife 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD San Fernando Real Union Tenerife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD San Fernando scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Real Union Tenerife let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Real Union Tenerife lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Real Union Tenerife

1.75 Goals Scored 0.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 25%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Paso	34	18	13	3	51:19	67
2	UD San Fernando	34	19	9	6	49:23	66
3	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51:31	63
4	Tamaraceite	34	19	6	9	56:36	63
5	Panaderia	34	15	10	9	47:33	55
6	Las Palmas C	34	15	9	10	58:42	54
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49:46	52
8	Villa Santa Brigida	34	15	5	14	42:35	50
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45:36	48
10	Real Union Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34:32	45
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37:43	39
12	CD Marino	34	8	15	11	44:40	39
13	Union Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33:43	38
14	San Bartolome	34	8	12	14	30:55	36
15	Arucas	34	7	12	15	31:47	33
16	Herbania	34	7	11	16	39:58	32
17	SD Tenisca	34	6	7	21	32:68	25
18	Telde	34	5	10	19	30:71	25