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AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Tamaraceite at 1.62 per game, UD San Fernando at 1.52.
- Win probability leans UD San Fernando's way, sitting at 60%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Tamaraceite, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD San Fernando Compare
Tamaraceite Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD San Fernando found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Tamaraceite let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.
UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tamaraceite's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.