Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD San Fernando vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Farias J.
83'
Lopez D.
83'
Delgado E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UD San Fernando
15%
Draws
26%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tamaraceite at 1.62 per game, UD San Fernando at 1.52.
  • Win probability leans UD San Fernando's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamaraceite, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando Tamaraceite
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 17 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Tamaraceite
1:1
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs UD San Fernando
3:0
Feb 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs UD San Fernando
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Tamaraceite
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Tamaraceite
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Edu Salles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 68 / 100
Tamaraceite 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD San Fernando found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Tamaraceite let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

UD San Fernando went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tamaraceite's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Tamaraceite
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Fernando

(Home)
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1
Tamaraceite
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 7

Tamaraceite

(Away)
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Recreativo Huelva
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD San Fernando 3
Panaderia 2
Mensajero 1
Tamaraceite 2
Final
UD San Fernando 1
Tamaraceite 4