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UD San Fernando vs UD Playas de Sotavento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Rodriguez Alonso J.
47' Event
Rodriguez Alonso J.
50' Event
Sullivan M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between UD San Fernando and UD Playas de Sotavento finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD San Fernando.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
UD San Fernando
15%
Draws
7%
UD Playas de Sotavento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • UD San Fernando carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD San Fernando are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 20%
UD Playas de Sotavento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando UD Playas de Sotavento
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 17 0
Draws 7 1
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.66 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.66 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs UD Playas de Sotavento
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Alonso J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sullivan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

UD Playas de Sotavento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 85 / 100
UD Playas de Sotavento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando UD Playas de Sotavento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD San Fernando scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

UD Playas de Sotavento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

UD San Fernando has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS UD Playas de Sotavento
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Fernando

(Home)
11 Oct
Lanzarote
0 : 1
UD San Fernando
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 6

UD Playas de Sotavento

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 3
Real Union Tenerife
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
2 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
4 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Lanzarote 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)