Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls

Mozambique Mozambique

Super Cup
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
2 - 3
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gueye K.
45' Event
Macaime Junior F.
65' Event
Gomis C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Associacao Black Bulls advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UD Songo
40%
Draws
29%
Associacao Black Bulls
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Songo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • UD Songo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Associacao Black Bulls, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 68%
Associacao Black Bulls Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Associacao Black Bulls
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super Cup
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
2:3
Dec 16, 2025 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Songo Compare

Top Goalscorer Macaime Junior F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Associacao Black Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 42 / 100
Associacao Black Bulls 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Associacao Black Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Associacao Black Bulls's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Associacao Black Bulls
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
01 Jul
UD Songo
3 : 0
AD Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1
Baia de Pemba
20 Jun
Costa do Sol
2 : 2
UD Songo
17 Jun
Maxaquene
1 : 2
UD Songo
22 May
UD Songo
2 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 5

Associacao Black Bulls

(Away)
28 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
21 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
4 : 1
Sofala
17 Jun
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
21 May
Chingale de Tete
0 : 3
Associacao Black Bulls
17 May
UD Songo
1 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
UD Songo2
Associacao Black Bulls3