Sport Picks
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 2025 
AI Match Summary
UD Songo host Baia de Pemba in the Mocambola 2025. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. UD Songo have averaged 1.37 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Baia de Pemba's 0.62 scored and 0.85 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 0.75, favoring UD Songo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Songo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Songo | Baia de Pemba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Songo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Baia de Pemba let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
UD Songo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Songo
(Home)Baia de Pemba
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |
