Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2025

Costa do Sol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Songo host Costa do Sol in the Mocambola 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. UD Songo have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Costa do Sol's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward UD Songo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

UD Songo

17%

Draws

13%

Costa do Sol

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Costa do Sol haven't matched UD Songo's recent run of results.
70% — that's where the model lands on UD Songo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

UD Songo Clean Sheet 19%

Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Songo	Costa do Sol
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	21	9
Draws	5	14
Losses	2	6
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs UD Songo

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Dec 21, 2025 Mocambola

UD Songo vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Aug 27, 2025 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs UD Songo

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Aug 26, 2024 Mocambola

UD Songo vs Costa do Sol

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

May 4, 2024 Mocambola

Costa do Sol vs UD Songo

Possession: 60% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 67 / 100

Costa do Sol 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Songo Costa do Sol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: UD Songo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Costa do Sol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Costa do Sol

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	22	18	3	1	50:13	57
2	Associacao Black Bulls	23	11	6	6	35:26	39
3	Ferroviario Beira	23	10	7	6	19:13	37
4	Ferroviario Lichinga	22	9	7	6	38:31	34
5	Ferroviario Maputo	23	7	12	4	25:18	33
6	Baia de Pemba	22	9	5	8	24:21	32
7	ENH Vilankulo	24	7	10	7	22:21	31
8	Costa do Sol	23	7	10	6	18:18	31
9	Ferroviario Nacala	23	8	7	8	16:17	31
10	Chingale de Tete	22	6	9	7	22:21	27
11	Ferroviario Nampula	22	6	8	8	21:29	26
12	Textafrica	23	4	8	11	15:30	20
13	Desportivo de Nacala	20	2	6	12	13:31	12
14	Desportivo Matola	22	2	4	16	11:40	10