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UD Songo vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Sun, Dec 21, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Songo host Costa do Sol in the Mocambola 2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. UD Songo have averaged 1.35 scored and 0.85 conceded recently, against Costa do Sol's 1.11 scored and 0.74 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 1.00) point toward UD Songo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
UD Songo
20%
Draws
56%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Songo haven't matched Costa do Sol's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Costa do Sol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Costa do Sol
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs UD Songo
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs UD Songo
0:1
Aug 26, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Costa do Sol
1:1
May 4, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs UD Songo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 24 / 100
Costa do Sol 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UD Songo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Costa do Sol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Costa do Sol
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
Page 1 of 6

Costa do Sol

(Away)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Songo 22 18 3 1 50:13 57
2 Associacao Black Bulls 23 11 6 6 35:26 39
3 Ferroviario Beira 23 10 7 6 19:13 37
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 22 9 7 6 38:31 34
5 Ferroviario Maputo 23 7 12 4 25:18 33
6 Baia de Pemba 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
7 ENH Vilankulo 24 7 10 7 22:21 31
8 Costa do Sol 23 7 10 6 18:18 31
9 Ferroviario Nacala 23 8 7 8 16:17 31
10 Chingale de Tete 22 6 9 7 22:21 27
11 Ferroviario Nampula 22 6 8 8 21:29 26
12 Textafrica 23 4 8 11 15:30 20
13 Desportivo de Nacala 20 2 6 12 13:31 12
14 Desportivo Matola 22 2 4 16 11:40 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)