Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Udinese vs Lazio

Italy Italy

Serie A Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Piotrowski J.
15'
Sub
Piotrowski J. In: Miller L.
Out: Piotrowski J.
23'
Miller L.

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Udinese
15%
Draws
58%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lazio have won more games recently than Udinese.
  • Model gives Udinese a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Udinese Clean Sheet 14%
Lazio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Lazio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie A
Udinese vs Lazio
1:2
Apr 27, 2026 Serie A
Lazio vs Udinese
3:3
Dec 27, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Lazio
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Udinese
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Lazio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlstrom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Frattesi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudmundsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 41 / 100
Lazio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Udinese scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Lazio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Udinese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Lazio
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

Lazio

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 Como 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
6 AC Milan 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
8 Juventus 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
9 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 Napoli 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
11 Atalanta 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
12 Lecce 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
16 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
17 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
18 Parma 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
19 Genoa 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)