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Udinese vs Mainz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Becker S.
17' Event
Davis K.
22' Event
Zaniolo N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Udinese and Mainz finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Udinese
20%
Draws
52%
Mainz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Udinese haven't matched Mainz's recent run of results.
  • Mainz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Udinese Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Mainz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.24 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Udinese vs Mainz
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zaniolo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Konigsdorffer R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 10 / 100
Mainz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Mainz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Udinese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Mainz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Udinese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Mainz
1 Goals Scored 4.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Barcelona
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Nottingham
02 Aug
Trabzonspor
1 : 0
Udinese
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3
Mainz
28 Jul
Udinese
1 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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Mainz

(Away)
08 Aug
Mainz
4 : 0
Paris FC
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3
Mainz
31 Jul
Mainz
1 : 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0
Holstein Kiel
17 Jul
Mainz
4 : 1
Kaiserslautern
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