Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Udinese vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Kabasele C.
41' Event
Zaniolo N.
Assist: Zanoli A.
45' Event
Miller L.

AI Match Summary

Udinese in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Udinese
30%
Draws
37%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Palermo have won more games recently than Udinese.
  • Model gives Palermo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Palermo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Udinese, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Udinese Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Palermo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Italia
Udinese vs Palermo
2:1
Mar 19, 2017 Serie A
Udinese vs Palermo
4:1
Oct 27, 2016 Serie A
Palermo vs Udinese
1:3
Jan 24, 2016 Serie A
Palermo vs Udinese
4:1
Aug 30, 2015 Serie A
Udinese vs Palermo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaniolo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peda P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 18 / 100
Palermo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Udinese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Udinese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Palermo conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Palermo
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Barcelona
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Nottingham
02 Aug
Trabzonspor
1 : 0
Udinese
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3
Mainz
28 Jul
Udinese
1 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2
Palermo
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
Pescara 1
Rimini 0
Spezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
TBD -
TBD -
Reggiana -
Genoa -
TBD -
Padova 0
Vicenza 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Avellino 0
Verona -
TBD -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Frosinone -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Entella 4
Ternana 0
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Catanzaro -
1/32-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parma 2
Pescara 0
Spezia 2
Sampdoria 1
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan 2
Bari 0
Lecce 2
Juve Stabia 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli 2
Reggiana 1
Genoa 3
Vicenza 0
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Carrarese 0
Cremonese 0
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Verona 2
Venezia 4
Mantova 0
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino 1
Modena 0
Pisa 1
Cesena 0
Napoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monza 0
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 2
Entella 1
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como 3
Sudtirol 1
Sassuolo 1
Catanzaro 0
1/16-finals
Bologna -
TBD -
Parma 3
Spezia 2
Lazio -
TBD -
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
Atalanta -
TBD -
Empoli 1
Genoa 3
Juventus -
TBD -
Udinese 2
Palermo 1
Inter -
TBD -
Verona 0
Venezia 1
AS Roma -
TBD -
Torino 1
Pisa 0
Napoli -
TBD -
Frosinone 1
Cagliari 4
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Como 3
Sassuolo 0
1/8-finals
Bologna 2
Parma 1
Lazio 1
AC Milan 0
Atalanta 4
Genoa 0
Juventus 2
Udinese 0
Inter 5
Venezia 1
AS Roma 2
Torino 3
Napoli 2
Cagliari 1
Fiorentina 1
Como 3
Quarter-finals
Bologna 1
Lazio 2
Atalanta 3
Juventus 0
Inter 2
Torino 1
Napoli 1
Como 2
Semi-finals
Lazio 4
Atalanta 3
Inter 3
Como 2
Final
Lazio 0
Inter 2