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UE Castelldefels vs Amposta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011 game between UE Castelldefels and Amposta finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
UE Castelldefels
15%
Draws
21%
Amposta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives UE Castelldefels a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
Amposta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels Amposta
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs UE Castelldefels
3:1
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Amposta
2:0
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Amposta
4:1
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs UE Castelldefels
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 85 / 100
Amposta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels Amposta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amposta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

UE Castelldefels found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (40 games).

Amposta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UE Castelldefels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 8

Amposta

(Away)
12 May
Amposta
2 : 4
Gava
06 May
Santboia
5 : 1
Amposta
29 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Manlleu AEC
22 Apr
Espanyol B
4 : 0
Amposta
15 Apr
Amposta
1 : 4
Gramenet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Som Maresme 38 22 7 9 65:36 73
2 Montanesa 38 19 10 9 40:33 67
3 Pobla Mafumet 38 19 10 9 60:36 67
4 Reus FC Reddis 38 17 14 7 52:26 65
5 Espanyol B 38 19 7 12 65:38 64
6 Manlleu AEC 38 14 19 5 58:40 61
7 CE Europa 38 16 10 12 54:42 58
8 Cornella 38 15 10 13 58:44 55
9 Prat 38 13 14 11 49:42 53
10 Gava 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
11 FC Vilafranca 38 13 10 15 48:55 49
12 Terrassa 38 11 14 13 58:53 47
13 UE Castelldefels 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
14 Amposta 38 13 6 19 45:65 45
15 Balaguer 38 11 10 17 42:60 43
16 CD Masnou 38 10 11 17 51:60 41
17 CF Vilanova 38 8 17 13 42:51 41
18 Palamos CF 38 9 14 15 35:45 41
19 FC Asco 38 6 11 21 29:72 29
20 Premia 38 5 12 21 24:66 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)