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UE Castelldefels vs Prat

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Penalba T.
70' Event
Lamelas M.
85' Event
Villaverde K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Prat in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UE Castelldefels
20%
Draws
32%
Prat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels average 0.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Prat's 0.95.
  • Model gives UE Castelldefels a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 68%
Prat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels Prat
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Prat
1:3
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Prat vs UE Castelldefels
2:2
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Prat vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Aug 18, 2021 Club Friendly
UE Castelldefels vs Prat
1:1
Aug 7, 2019 Club Friendly
Prat vs UE Castelldefels
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Castelldefels Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Prat Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalba T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamelas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 95 / 100
Prat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels Prat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Prat has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: UE Castelldefels scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Prat
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

Prat

(Away)
10 May
CE Atletic Lleida
6 : 0
Prat
04 May
Prat
2 : 2
Peralada
27 Apr
Mollerussa
5 : 0
Prat
18 Apr
Prat
0 : 2
L Hospitalet
13 Apr
FC Lescala
0 : 0
Prat
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)