Sport Picks
UE Castelldefels vs Vilassar de Mar Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 
Match Events
57'
57'
Puchades N.
AI Match Summary
Vilassar de Mar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vilassar de Mar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Castelldefels
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- UE Castelldefels haven't matched Vilassar de Mar's recent run of results.
- UE Castelldefels are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UE Castelldefels | Vilassar de Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Vilassar de Mar
0:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Vilassar de Mar
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UE Castelldefels Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Vilassar de Mar Compare
Top Goalscorer Puchades N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UE Castelldefels 36 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UE Castelldefels Vilassar de Mar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vilassar de Mar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Away concern: Vilassar de Mar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: UE Castelldefels scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vilassar de Mar
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UE Castelldefels
(Home) 11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0 UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0 UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FE Grama
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1 Peralada
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2 FC Vilafranca
07 Apr
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Girona B
24 Mar
UE Castelldefels
0 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
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Vilassar de Mar
(Away) 27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2 CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0 Pobla Mafumet
30 Aug
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2 Espanyol B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
10 May
FE Grama
1 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
12 Apr
FC Lescala
1 : 4 Vilassar de Mar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olot | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 55:20 | 79 |
| 2 | L Hospitalet | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 56:28 | 69 |
| 3 | Vilassar de Mar | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41:27 | 60 |
| 4 | CF Badalona | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Prat | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 39:30 | 51 |
| 6 | UE Tona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:45 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Lescala | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 57:59 | 48 |
| 8 | Reus FC Reddis | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 31:28 | 46 |
| 9 | Montanesa | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | 46 |
| 10 | FE Grama | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 41:47 | 45 |
| 11 | Girona B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:40 | 44 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | 43 |
| 13 | San Cristobal CP | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 35:54 | 43 |
| 14 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Pobla Mafumet | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | FC Vilafranca | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 31:53 | 33 |
| 17 | UE Castelldefels | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:47 | 30 |
| 18 | UE Rapitenca | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 36:51 | 30 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
