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UE Engordany vs Lusitanos

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UE Engordany play Lusitanos in the Primera Divisió 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, UE Engordany averaged 0.84 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. Lusitanos averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, UE Engordany won 1, Lusitanos won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 3, 2019 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for UE Engordany and 1.13 for Lusitanos. This points to a UE Engordany double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
UE Engordany
23%
Draws
38%
Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: UE Engordany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Engordany picked up more points recently compared to Lusitanos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
UE Engordany Clean Sheet 21%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Engordany Lusitanos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Lusitanos
5:0
Dec 2, 2018 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Engordany
4:0
Sep 30, 2018 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Lusitanos
1:1
May 13, 2018 Primera Divisió
UE Engordany vs Lusitanos
0:0
Apr 22, 2018 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Engordany
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Engordany 39 / 100
Lusitanos 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Engordany Lusitanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UE Engordany or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Engordany attacking → ← attacking Lusitanos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Engordany scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Lusitanos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

UE Engordany went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Lusitanos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 23
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sant Julia21136242:1645
2FC Santa Coloma21127232:1243
3Inter Escaldes21124530:2140
4UE Engordany2187626:2431
5Ordino21721227:3223
6UE Santa Coloma21561025:2921
7Lusitanos21541221:3819
8Encamp21241516:4710