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UE Tona vs CF Badalona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Serra D.
31' Event
Sauret N.
55' Event
Aguilera O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between UE Tona and CF Badalona finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Badalona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
UE Tona
15%
Draws
64%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UE Tona haven't matched CF Badalona's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on CF Badalona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 18%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona CF Badalona
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 9 18
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.49
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs CF Badalona
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs UE Tona
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs CF Badalona
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs UE Tona
4:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs CF Badalona
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sauret N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilera O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 10 / 100
CF Badalona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Badalona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

CF Badalona let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

UE Tona has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS CF Badalona
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
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CF Badalona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
27 Sept
CF Badalona
4 : 0
San Cristobal CP
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)