Sport Picks
UE Tona vs Vilassar de Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
57'
57'
Roquet M.
87'
87'
Martinez J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and Vilassar de Mar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Tona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UE Tona come out ahead of Vilassar de Mar on wins alone.
- UE Tona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%
Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UE Tona | Vilassar de Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Vilassar de Mar
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
0:3
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Vilassar de Mar vs UE Tona
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UE Tona Compare
Top Goalscorer Roquet M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vilassar de Mar Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UE Tona 77 / 100
Vilassar de Mar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UE Tona Vilassar de Mar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UE Tona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UE Tona found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Vilassar de Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Vilassar de Mar lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
UE Tona VS Vilassar de Mar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
UE Tona
(Home) 03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3 CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1 UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3 Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1 UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1 Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3 CF Badalona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3 Pobla Mafumet
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1 Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1 Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0 FC Lescala
Page 1 of 3
Vilassar de Mar
(Away) 04 Oct
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 6 CE Europa B
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2 CF Badalona
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0 Pobla Mafumet
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
10 May
FE Grama
1 : 0 Vilassar de Mar
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1 Vilassar de Mar
12 Apr
FC Lescala
1 : 4 Vilassar de Mar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CE Manresa | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:32 | 66 |
| 2 | CF Badalona | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 43:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Cornella | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 4 | CF Vilanova | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 38:27 | 56 |
| 5 | L Hospitalet | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:39 | 55 |
| 6 | FE Grama | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 49:35 | 54 |
| 7 | FC Lescala | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 51:51 | 46 |
| 8 | Peralada | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 9 | UE Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35:31 | 45 |
| 10 | CE Europa B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 44:53 | 45 |
| 11 | Montanesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:39 | 42 |
| 12 | Mollerussa | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Vilassar de Mar | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 14 | San Cristobal CP | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Valles | 34 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 40:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Can Vidalet | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 35:53 | 33 |
| 17 | UE Vic | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 31:47 | 32 |
| 18 | Lleida | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 21:46 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
