Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Alas H.
35'
35'
Ramos D.
54'
54'
Flores J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2016/2017 game between UES and Metapan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metapan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Metapan come out ahead of UES on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Primera Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Metapan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UES Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UES | Metapan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 48 |
| Wins | 6 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2017 Primera Division
Metapan vs UES
0:0
Feb 8, 2017 Primera Division
UES vs Metapan
2:3
Oct 30, 2016 Primera Division
Metapan vs UES
2:0
Aug 26, 2016 Primera Division
UES vs Metapan
1:2
May 7, 2016 Primera Division
Metapan vs UES
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UES Compare
Top Goalscorer Alas H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gil Mosquera C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Metapan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Flores J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UES 32 / 100
Metapan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UES Metapan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UES found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Metapan has conceded goals in 67% of their last 48 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
UES went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Metapan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
UES
(Home) 30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
20 Apr
Alianza FC
2 : 0 UES
13 Apr
Aguila
3 : 2 UES
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
UES
1 : 0 Pasaquina
22 Apr
UES
2 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
09 Apr
UES
1 : 0 CD Sonsonate
31 Mar
UES
1 : 1 Municipal Limeno
22 Mar
UES
2 : 2 Chalatenango
Page 1 of 3
Metapan
(Away) 03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2 Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0 Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0 Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2 Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2 Metapan
Page 1 of 10
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0 Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2 Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2 Metapan
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1 Metapan
15 Aug
Fuerte San Francisco
1 : 0 Metapan
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:21 | 44 |
| 2 | Aguila | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 25:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Santa Tecla | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:27 | 34 |
| 4 | Metapan | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:21 | 34 |
| 5 | Luis Angel Firpo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 31 |
| 6 | FAS | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Pasaquina | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 26 |
| 9 | UES | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 28:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Dragon | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:30 | 25 |
| 11 | CD Sonsonate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 24:36 | 21 |
| 12 | Chalatenango | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:39 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2016/2017 (Clausura - Play Offs)
