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Ufa vs Kamaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL BetBoom Arena, Ufa
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Yusupov Z.
45'
Manuylov R.
46'
Sub
Deryugin A. In: Shavel M.
Out: Deryugin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ufa
35%
Draws
45%
Kamaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kamaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ufa have won more games recently than Kamaz.
  • Win probability leans Ufa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ufa Clean Sheet 20%
Kamaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ufa Kamaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 FNL
Ufa vs Kamaz
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 FNL
Ufa vs Kamaz
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Ufa
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 FNL
Kamaz vs Ufa
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 FNL
Ufa vs Kamaz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ufa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakuev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kamaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanets M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 36 / 100
Kamaz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ufa Kamaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ufa found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Kamaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ufa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ufa VS Kamaz
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ufa

(Home)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Kamaz

(Away)
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)