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UFC Fehring vs Pachern

Austria Austria

Steiermark
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UFC Fehring host Pachern in the Steiermark. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pachern have shipped 2.37 goals a game lately, while UFC Fehring have conceded 2.55 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Pachern slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.25, favoring Pachern. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
UFC Fehring
15%
Draws
57%
Pachern
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UFC Fehring haven't matched Pachern's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pachern's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
UFC Fehring Clean Sheet 19%
Pachern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UFC Fehring Pachern
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Steiermark
UFC Fehring vs Pachern
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Steiermark
Pachern vs UFC Fehring
6:2
May 17, 2011 Steiermark
Pachern vs UFC Fehring
5:1
Oct 1, 2010 Steiermark
UFC Fehring vs Pachern
0:1
May 7, 2010 Steiermark
UFC Fehring vs Pachern
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UFC Fehring 16 / 100
Pachern 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UFC Fehring Pachern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachern let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

UFC Fehring scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

UFC Fehring went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UFC Fehring VS Pachern
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UFC Fehring

(Home)
20 Sept
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
1 : 2
UFC Fehring
15 Sept
UFC Fehring
2 : 0
Grossklein
11 Sept
Stadtwerke Bruck/Mur
3 : 1
UFC Fehring
04 Sept
UFC Fehring
0 : 1
Koflach
28 Aug
SV Union Gnas
3 : 0
UFC Fehring
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Pachern

(Away)
18 Sept
Pachern
2 : 0
Kindberg Murzhofen
15 Sept
Ilzer SV
1 : 2
Pachern
11 Sept
Pachern
1 : 0
Lebring
04 Sept
Furstenfeld
0 : 2
Pachern
28 Aug
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
1 : 0
Pachern
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