Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UFV Thalgau vs Bergheim

Austria Austria

Salzburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Salzburg 2021/2022 game between UFV Thalgau and Bergheim finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UFV Thalgau
15%
Draws
42%
Bergheim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UFV Thalgau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UFV Thalgau come out ahead of Bergheim on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
UFV Thalgau Clean Sheet 10%
Bergheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UFV Thalgau Bergheim
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 2.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.56 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
1:4
Sep 17, 2022 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Bergheim
7:2
Jun 3, 2022 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 Salzburg
UFV Thalgau vs Bergheim
2:7
Aug 21, 2020 Salzburg
Bergheim vs UFV Thalgau
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UFV Thalgau 34 / 100
Bergheim 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UFV Thalgau Bergheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergheim let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

UFV Thalgau scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Bergheim has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UFV Thalgau VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UFV Thalgau

(Home)
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
08 Sept
Strasswalchen
5 : 0
UFV Thalgau
05 Sept
UFV Thalgau
3 : 1
USK Anif
29 Aug
SV Burmoos
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
Page 1 of 7

Bergheim

(Away)
15 Feb
SAK 1914
3 : 0
Bergheim
10 Jun
Bergheim
0 : 4
Eugendorf
03 Jun
Schwarzach
2 : 5
Bergheim
26 May
Bergheim
1 : 3
Puch
17 May
Strasswalchen
3 : 2
Bergheim
Page 1 of 6