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Uganda U17 vs Rwanda U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
61' Event
66' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Uganda U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Uganda U17
30%
Draws
16%
Rwanda U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uganda U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uganda U17 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Uganda U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Rwanda U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U17 Rwanda U17
Matches Played 25 13
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.64 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Rwanda U17 vs Uganda U17
2:3
Jul 19, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Rwanda U17
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U17 83 / 100
Rwanda U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U17 Rwanda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uganda U17 scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Rwanda U17 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 13 outings.

Uganda U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U17 VS Rwanda U17
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U17

(Home)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

Rwanda U17

(Away)
04 Apr
Tanzania U17
3 : 3
Rwanda U17
02 Aug
Rwanda U17
2 : 3
Uganda U17
19 Jul
Uganda U17
4 : 0
Rwanda U17
27 Oct
Rwanda U17
1 : 1
Botswana U17
13 Oct
Botswana U17
1 : 0
Rwanda U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -