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Uganda U17 vs Tanzania U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kawooya A.
28' Event
Asaba I.
77' Event
Yiga N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Uganda U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uganda U17
15%
Draws
54%
Tanzania U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tanzania U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U17 haven't matched Tanzania U17's recent run of results.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tanzania U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Tanzania U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U17 Tanzania U17
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Tanzania U17
3:0
Apr 17, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Tanzania U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawooya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asaba I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tanzania U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U17 36 / 100
Tanzania U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U17 Tanzania U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U17 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Tanzania U17 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Uganda U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U17 VS Tanzania U17
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U17

(Home)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

Tanzania U17

(Away)
11 Jul
Tanzania U17
5 : 3
Australia U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
02 Jun
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1
Tanzania U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U17 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Angola U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 6:12 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon U17 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Guinea U17 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Senegal U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Morocco U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2019 (Play Offs)