Sport Picks

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Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hakizimana R.
Assist: Ndayikengurukiye C.
45' Event
Walusimbi A.
63' Event
Dembe J.
Assist: Johnson K.

AI Match Summary

Uganda U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
32%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda U20 lately — more wins on the board than Burundi U20.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uganda U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
3:1
Oct 9, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
4:1
Nov 25, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembe J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Walusimbi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Burundi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakizimana R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 85 / 100
Burundi U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Uganda U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Burundi U20 conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Uganda U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Burundi U20
1 Goals Scored 0.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
25% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Uganda U20
1 : 2
Tanzania U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Burundi U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

Burundi U20

(Away)
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Kenya U20
4 : 0
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Burundi U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Kenya U20 4
Burundi U20 0
Final
Tanzania U20 2
Kenya U20 1
Uganda U20 3
Burundi U20 1