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Uganda U20 vs Central Africa U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Uganda U20 Logo

Uganda U20

2 - 1
FT
Central Africa U20 Logo

Central Africa U20

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Mamfeina T.
17'
Goyema A.
47' Event
Mugulusi I.
Assist: Ssematimba T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Uganda U20
20%
Draws
11%
Central Africa U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Uganda U20 have won more games recently than Central Africa U20.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Central Africa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Central Africa U20
Matches Played 34 14
Wins 22 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.82 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Uganda U20 vs Central Africa U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugulusi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Central Africa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbenou B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 95 / 100
Central Africa U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Central Africa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Africa U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Attacking prowess: Uganda U20 scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Uganda U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Central Africa U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 7

Central Africa U20

(Away)
08 May
Central Africa U20
0 : 1
Ghana U20
05 May
Central Africa U20
1 : 3
D.R. Congo U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
26 Feb
Central Africa U20
0 : 0
Congo U20
23 Feb
Central Africa U20
0 : 1
South Sudan U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams