Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Uganda U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Uganda U20
30%
Draws
12%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uganda U20 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Kenya U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 84 / 100
Kenya U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Kenya U20 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Uganda U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Kenya U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Uganda U20
1 : 2
Tanzania U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
Page 1 of 7

Kenya U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uganda U20 3
Kenya U20 1
Tanzania U20 1
South Sudan U20 0
Final
Uganda U20 4
Tanzania U20 1
Kenya U20 1
South Sudan U20 2